Today is another day of elimination in the Secret Story NL house. In the last five weeks I predicted the elimination results of the television show. Three times I was right and two times I was wrong. Those two times I predicted the person with the most votes, but then another person was eliminated. But also the two times I predicted the wrong person to be eliminated, I predicted Servio would leave the Secret Story house. This week Servio is nominated again. And again I predict he will leave the house. Will it be a three strikes and out? Or will the fan base of Servio keep bothering me?

Comeback kid
This week Gerard and Servio have been nominated. The fan base of Servio proved they are a force to be reckoned with, but the statistics show that Gerard definitely is in the lead. The difference this week, in comparison to last week, is that only two people are nominated. Last week Servio had his second comeback, but will the fans of Gerard let it come to this for a third time?

If I had to believe the Secret Story fans from fok.nl, Gerard should easily stay. This fan base has proven to be accurate about the favorite every week, but not about the one eliminated. Every variable seems against Servio, except his massive fan base and their promotion campaigns. Is this the week Servio’s story ends?

My prediction:
Servio (will be eliminated)
Gerard (will stay)

Battle of the fan bases
This week will be between the fan bases. A head tot head between Gerard and Servio. It is also an opportunity for the fans of Guido to get their revenge for last week. Therefore Servio will leave the house. But if he stays with only a very small difference, I have learned that the fan base of Servio will make up for 200 to 250 followers on Twitter.

(My results are based on the variables at 17:00 PM, 3,5 hours before the live show)

Update: Servio made sure I made a mistake the two times he was nominated. This didn’t keep me predicting he would be eliminated for a third time. This time Servio was finally eliminated and I was finally right this week. Gerard can stay en my current score is: four times the right prediction and two times one mistake and the most popular person right. We’ll see if I can keep it up next week.